Base Rates and the Outside View: The Leader’s Guide to Smarter Decisions
As leaders, we’re often celebrated for our intuition and ability to make bold, decisive calls. But too often, intuition leads us astray —…
Causation vs. Correlation Matrix
A Tool for Decision Leaders
Decision Leadership: How Leaders Can Improve Decision-Making
Managing Cognitive Biases, Thinking Probabilistically, and Structuring Decisions
Numeracy and Probabilistic Thinking Are the Easiest and Most Practical Decision Skills for Leaders
In the realm of decision-making, numeracy and probabilistic thinking often find themselves sidelined, regarded as esoteric, or even…
The Power of Bayesian Belief Updating: A Guide for Leaders and Decision-Makers
Successful leadership often hinges on mastering decision-making amid uncertainty. Central to this mastery is the art of Bayesian belief…
Your Questions, Their Answers: An “Exclusive Conversation” with Daniel Kahneman and Annie Duke
When we brought Annie and Danny together recently for a talk about all things decision-making and Danny’s new book, “Noise: A Flaw in Human…
Exclusive and Personal, Daniel Kahneman Talks to Us About “Noise”
Our own Daniel Kahneman has unlocked yet another facet of the mind that impacts decision-making.
Stanford Study Confirms What We Already, Painfully, Know: Today’s Youth Struggle In Deciding What…
Our colleagues at the Stanford History Education Group just completed another compelling national study that showcases, again, that our…
